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World
Herz — World Desk · · 30s summary · 3 min read
Despite two rounds of US-Israeli strikes since 2025 and severe international sanctions, Iran continues to fund its military operations. According to Die Zeit, Tehran covertly exports oil via a shadow fleet and channels most of these proceeds to its elite military force. China absorbs 80–90% of Iran's oil exports. Iran is also turning to barter, informal monetary channels, and money printing. Analysts suggest that a rapid economic collapse of the regime through blockade remains unlikely.
The United States and Israel have attacked Iran twice since 2025. The second conflict began on February 28, 2026. The two powers killed leading regime figures and destroyed defense installations, missile launchers, warships, and combat aircraft, according to Die Zeit.
Iran has been subject to strict international sanctions for several years due to suspicions of nuclear weapons development and financing of regional militias.
To export oil despite sanctions, Iran relies on a shadow fleet—a network of clandestine tankers, shell companies, disabled transponders, and forged documents.
China absorbs 80–90% of Iran's oil exports. In return, Beijing enjoys a significant sanctions-related discount.
The majority of billions from this gray-market energy trade flows to the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC)—Iran's elite military force, equipped with independent air, space, and ballistic branches separate from the regular military. These funds cover salaries, weapons, and logistics.
A brief ceasefire, accompanied by temporary easing of restrictions, temporarily boosted Iranian revenues. A new escalation around the Strait of Hormuz—a maritime passage in the Persian Gulf between Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates to the south—then opened a new chapter of the conflict.
The United Arab Emirates, which served as a hub for currency exchange operations and circumventing Iranian sanctions, is becoming increasingly unavailable for this role.
Iran's steel sector, damaged by war, represents a second revenue pillar in collapse.
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Facing these losses, Iran increasingly relies on barter with China, informal monetary channels, tax increases, and money printing to offset declining revenues.
Die Zeit's analysis concludes that Iran is economically weakened but not defeated. Rapid collapse triggered by blockade is more a geopolitical wish than sound analysis.
Reports from a single source mention the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and a funeral ceremony held in Iran. These elements are not independently confirmed at this stage.
It is a network of clandestine tankers, shell companies, and secret logistical operations used by Iran to export oil while circumventing international sanctions.
China receives a substantial discount on the price of Iranian oil in exchange for absorbing 80–90% of Iran's oil exports.
The IRGC is Iran's elite military force. It has independent air, space, and ballistic branches separate from the regular military and is largely funded by proceeds from clandestine oil trade.
According to Die Zeit's analysis, no. Iran is economically weakened, but rapid collapse through economic blockade is deemed unlikely.
The Strait of Hormuz is a strategic maritime passage in the Persian Gulf between Iran and the United Arab Emirates. Military escalation around this passage marked a new chapter of the conflict.