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World
Herz — World Desk · · 30s summary · 3 min read
Gold was trading at around US$4,000 an ounce on July 30, 2026, nearly 28% below its peak and below its level at the start of the year. Global demand nevertheless rose 2% year on year to 2,522 tonnes in the first half. Investment demand fell sharply in the second quarter, while central-bank purchases rebounded to 289 tonnes. Analysts say official-sector buying alone cannot sustain the price: investor demand of about 500 tonnes per quarter would be needed to keep gold above US$4,000 an ounce.
Gold had fallen nearly 28% from its peak by July 30, 2026. It was trading at around US$4,000 an ounce, below its level at the beginning of the year, according to Handelsblatt.
Global gold demand nevertheless reached 2,522 tonnes in the first half of 2026, up 2% from the same period in 2025, according to World Gold Council data obtained in advance by Handelsblatt.
All of that growth occurred during the first three months of 2026. Second-quarter demand was unchanged from a year earlier at 1,269 tonnes.
Investment demand fell 46% year on year in the second quarter. John Reade, chief market strategist at the World Gold Council, said demand—particularly from investors—had returned to normal after unusually high levels in the fourth quarter of 2025 and first quarter of 2026.
Gold-backed exchange-traded funds, which can track the gold price without giving investors direct ownership of the physical metal, recorded net outflows equivalent to 45 tonnes as institutional investors reduced their exposure.
Worldwide retail demand for gold bars and coins declined 3% year on year in the second quarter. Across the first half as a whole, however, it remained 21% above its 2025 level.
In Germany, demand for bars and coins fell 22% year on year in the second quarter. Temporary shortages at precious-metal dealers during the earlier price surge had subsided.
Central banks bought 346 tonnes of gold in the first half of 2026, less than a year earlier. The decline mainly reflected sales by Turkey and Azerbaijan during the first quarter.
The trend reversed in the second quarter. Central-bank purchases reached 289 tonnes, 62% more than a year earlier, with Poland and China the most active buyers.
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Since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, central banks in emerging economies have bought more than twice their previous annual volumes. One aim is to reduce their exposure to possible US sanctions.
A World Gold Council survey found that 45% of central banks questioned wanted to increase their gold reserves. Reade said central banks typically pause purchases at the onset of crises or severe turbulence, but the price correction was now encouraging them to buy again.
UBS analysts Dominic Schnider and Giovanni Staunovo said central-bank buying alone could not produce a lasting recovery in the gold price.
They estimated that sustained investor demand of about 500 tonnes per quarter would be needed to keep gold above US$4,000 an ounce.
Reade also said investors, especially those in Western markets, would need to return. Investor demand was the main driver of the price increase in 2025 and early 2026.
Physical demand accounts for only a small share of the gold market. Futures markets trade volumes equivalent to several times annual global gold production.
A futures market is one in which participants enter commitments that are settled on a date agreed in advance. Its traders nevertheless continue to monitor buying and selling trends in the physical gold market.