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Business Desk · · 30s summary · 4 min read
On July 12, 2026, oil prices surged following the fourth US military strike against Iran in a week. WTI crude jumped 4.1% to $74.33 per barrel, while Brent advanced 3.88% to $78.96 per barrel at 21:15 ET, per CNBC and Bloomberg. The escalation followed an attack by Iran's Revolutionary Guard on a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran declared the strait closed "until further notice" and struck US military installations in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman. US Central Command denied the closure, claiming traffic continued unimpeded. European natural gas rose 2.7%.
Oil prices surged on July 12, 2026, following fresh military escalation between the United States and Iran around the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude jumped 4.1% to $74.33 per barrel and Brent rose 3.88% to $78.96 per barrel at 21:15 ET (Eastern Time), per CNBC and Bloomberg.
The US military—via Central Command (Centcom, the unified headquarters responsible for American military operations in the Middle East, based in Qatar)—launched a fourth round of strikes against Iran on July 12, 2026, within a week. The previous day, 140 Iranian targets had already been struck.
These strikes responded to an attack by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Iran's paramilitary force answering directly to Iran's Supreme Leader, against a container ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
In retaliation, Iran struck US military facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman the same day, according to Tasnim, an Iranian press agency founded in 2012 and considered semi-official by the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Iran declared the closure of the Strait of Hormuz—the seaway connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman—"until further notice." Tehran also demands that ships use a northern route through its territorial waters, asserting control over the passage.
until further notice
— Iran, declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed, July 12, 2026
Central Command formally denied this claim, insisting that traffic continued and the strait remained "open to any vessel wishing to transit legally." Donald Trump echoed this position in an interview broadcast on NBC News's "Meet the Press" on July 12, 2026.
Partial data confirms residual traffic: Windward, a maritime intelligence firm using AI and vessel tracking via AIS data, identified 9 ships transiting the strait on July 11, 2026. The Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC), a US-led maritime coordination hub based in Bahrain, confirmed that the southern route through Omani waters remained open in both directions, while calling the security situation "severe" and urging mariners to exercise "extreme vigilance."
Beyond crude oil, European natural gas added as much as 2.7% during the same session. These gains reflect a broader trend: Brent had already advanced 5.4% in the week leading to July 12, 2026, per Bloomberg, reflecting mounting geopolitical risk premium.
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The conflict traces back to joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026. Before this event, roughly 20% of global oil supplies transited the Strait of Hormuz, making it one of the world's most strategic seaways for energy.
Iran began attacking commercial vessels in March 2026, causing traffic in the strait to collapse. An interim peace agreement signed on June 17, 2026, allowed partial traffic recovery. The weekend crisis of July 11-12 stems from divergent interpretations of that agreement's terms.
The strait's effective status remains the central uncertainty. Iran asserts its closure; Central Command and Washington deny it. Available navigation data—9 ships transiting on July 11, 2026—do not settle the matter. The northern route Tehran demands and the southern route Washington defends reflect incompatible interpretations of the June 17, 2026 agreement.
Human and material casualty figures from the July 12, 2026 strikes—both US strikes on Iran and Iranian strikes on facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman—are unavailable from consulted sources.
Before the 2026 crisis, roughly 20% of global oil supplies transited there daily. This body of water between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman is the primary maritime outlet for regional oil exports.
Positions diverge. Iran declares it closed "until further notice." Central Command and Donald Trump insist traffic continues. JMIC confirms the southern route through Omani waters remains passable, and Windward tracked 9 ships transiting on July 11, 2026.
About 20% of global oil supplies transited the strait before the crisis. The fourth wave of strikes in a week and Iran's closure declarations amplified fears of global supply disruption.
An interim peace accord between the US and Iran intended to define terms for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Both parties have interpreted its terms divergently, fueling the July 2026 crisis.
According to Tasnim, Iran's semi-official news agency, Iran targeted US military facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman.